Monday, May 23, 2016

Time Estimates

Coach and I met and discussed my training numbers and how my race day will likely look.  16 hours is a conservative approach, 15 hours is doable.  With these times, no concern of me missing any of the cut-offs. 

Swim Estimate
2:15 pace = 95 minutes
2:30 pace = 105 minutes

Bike Estimate
14 MPH = 8 hours
15 MPH = 7:28 (based on most recent outdoor pace)
16 MPH = 7 hours

Run Estimate
12:00 mm = 5:15 marathon
12:30 mm = 5:28 marathon (typical long run)
14:00 mm = 6:08 marathon (walk aid stations)

Race Day - conservative estimate - 16 hours
07:00 - Swim @ 2:30 pace for 1:45
08:45 - T1 15 minute
09:00 - Bike @ 15 MPH for 7:28 
16:30 - T2 15 minute
16:45 - Run @ 14:00 mm for 6:08
23:00 - Finish

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Bike Cut-Off - times and locations
1. 09:30 - Mount Line
2. 11:45 - Hwy 99 and Callaghan Valley Rd (northbound)
3. 12:15 - Hwy 99 and Village Gate Road (northbound)
4. 15:45 - Hwy 99 and Portage Road (southbound)
5. 17:30 - Dismount Line

Run Cut-Off
1. 21:00 - Start of Lap 2
2. 22:30 - Turn around at far end of Green Lake
3. 00:00 - Finish

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